Just a short remark: the most statistically explicative parameter for Wikipedia activity is not the number of internet connections but GDP (except for English and Chinese projects which exhibit singular behavior). Perhaps you could retry the analysis using GDP and find some more countries where chapters are achievable.
Sorry for not providing references. This comes from a not yet published research work that applies reasonable hypothesis to transfer more than 20 parameters from country data into language data and then apply statistical methods to search for correlations between those data and size of Wikipedia projects.
== Searching for chapters ==
This analysis is about where to search for new Wikimedia chapters. It may be useful to the ChapCom and Board, but the other intention is to encourage Wikimedians from those countries to try to form their chapters, because it is achievable.
On Sat, Jan 16, 2010 at 8:27 AM, Joan Goma jrgoma@gmail.com wrote:
Just a short remark: the most statistically explicative parameter for Wikipedia activity is not the number of internet connections but GDP (except for English and Chinese projects which exhibit singular behavior). Perhaps you could retry the analysis using GDP and find some more countries where chapters are achievable.
Sorry for not providing references. This comes from a not yet published research work that applies reasonable hypothesis to transfer more than 20 parameters from country data into language data and then apply statistical methods to search for correlations between those data and size of Wikipedia projects.
Actually, you are right. Nominal [1] and PPP GDP [2] are more accurate than anything else. At least for the first 20 countries. Here are results:
* Number of Internet users: 9 chapters. * GDP, nominal, according to IMF: 12 chapters. * GDP, PPP, according to IMF: 12 chapters.
However, I think that GDP, including nominal and PPP, wouldn't be so accurate when we come to other countries. For example, Nigeria has bigger nominal GDP than Israel, Ukraine, Egypt, New Zealand, Croatia, Slovenia, Serbia etc., but mentioned countries have chapters or have strong initiatives for chapters.
GDP per capita (nominal and PPP) is more confusing because a lot of small countries have very high GDP/pc. For example, it is not realistic to expect Lichtenstein or even Luxemburg to create chapters before India, as well as many significantly poorer countries already have chapters (Serbia, Macedonia, Indonesia).
But, it is true that we need some more complex scale for targeting countries for the future chapters.
And for Erik: If it is possible, I would like to have regional statistics for some huge countries, if possible. I am almost sure that it is possible for USA, as well as it is maybe possible for India, Brazil and Russia.
[1] - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_%28nominal%29 [2] - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_%28PPP%29
wikimedia-l@lists.wikimedia.org