After 6 days, the fund drive appears to have taken $450,000 (not counting the $1.9M of that was in the counter before the drive started).
Comparing that total to the way that previous drives have evolved, I'd guesstimate that after 60 days the current drive will have generated $2.9 +/- 0.9M in community donations, not counting any additional major donor contributions that the WMF may arrange during that time.
Based on the figures in the annual report, $2.9M would appear to exceed expectations for community giving (currently stated as $3M for the current fiscal year, and assuming that at least $1M in community giving occurs as donations during non-fundraiser months).
-Robert Rohde
What statistical method do you use to calculate 2.9 Million?
Ian
On 11/11/08, Robert Rohde rarohde@gmail.com wrote:
After 6 days, the fund drive appears to have taken $450,000 (not counting the $1.9M of that was in the counter before the drive started).
Comparing that total to the way that previous drives have evolved, I'd guesstimate that after 60 days the current drive will have generated $2.9 +/- 0.9M in community donations, not counting any additional major donor contributions that the WMF may arrange during that time.
Based on the figures in the annual report, $2.9M would appear to exceed expectations for community giving (currently stated as $3M for the current fiscal year, and assuming that at least $1M in community giving occurs as donations during non-fundraiser months).
-Robert Rohde
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Hoi, This is good. We can use more money.. But this money will only be there when the current trend will continue. We have seen last year that it does not work that way. So just see how it progresses and when we gain more money then expected, we can cheer and find appropriate ways to spend it. Thanks, GerardM
On Tue, Nov 11, 2008 at 6:59 AM, Robert Rohde rarohde@gmail.com wrote:
After 6 days, the fund drive appears to have taken $450,000 (not counting the $1.9M of that was in the counter before the drive started).
Comparing that total to the way that previous drives have evolved, I'd guesstimate that after 60 days the current drive will have generated $2.9 +/- 0.9M in community donations, not counting any additional major donor contributions that the WMF may arrange during that time.
Based on the figures in the annual report, $2.9M would appear to exceed expectations for community giving (currently stated as $3M for the current fiscal year, and assuming that at least $1M in community giving occurs as donations during non-fundraiser months).
-Robert Rohde
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As I said, I assumed the current trend falls off in a similar way to the way the trend has evolved during the last four fundraisers. The uncertainty is based on roughly the extrapolated range in evolution between those past examples.
-Robert Rohde
On Mon, Nov 10, 2008 at 10:36 PM, Gerard Meijssen gerard.meijssen@gmail.com wrote:
Hoi, This is good. We can use more money.. But this money will only be there when the current trend will continue. We have seen last year that it does not work that way. So just see how it progresses and when we gain more money then expected, we can cheer and find appropriate ways to spend it. Thanks, GerardM
On Tue, Nov 11, 2008 at 6:59 AM, Robert Rohde rarohde@gmail.com wrote:
After 6 days, the fund drive appears to have taken $450,000 (not counting the $1.9M of that was in the counter before the drive started).
Comparing that total to the way that previous drives have evolved, I'd guesstimate that after 60 days the current drive will have generated $2.9 +/- 0.9M in community donations, not counting any additional major donor contributions that the WMF may arrange during that time.
Based on the figures in the annual report, $2.9M would appear to exceed expectations for community giving (currently stated as $3M for the current fiscal year, and assuming that at least $1M in community giving occurs as donations during non-fundraiser months).
-Robert Rohde
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