On Thu, Jan 10, 2013 at 4:58 PM, Federico Leva (Nemo) <nemowiki(a)gmail.com>wrote;wrote:
Andreas Kolbe, 10/01/2013 17:24:
On Wed, Jan 9, 2013 at 6:41 AM, Federico Leva
(Nemo) wrote:
The main pattern, ie a turning point in 2007, is the same in all
projects,
and almost in all language versions of them: [...]
Actually, Nemo, I don't think that is right at all. If you look at the
German, Spanish or French Wikipedia, for example, the German and Spanish
are totally stable, with no decline at all discernible around 2007, while
editor numbers for the French Wikipedia are actually growing:
http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/**TablesWikipediaFR.htm<http://stats.wikim…
http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/**TablesWikipediaDE.htm<http://stats.wikim…
http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/**TablesWikipediaES.htm<http://stats.wikim…
I said "a turning point", i.e. a singularity; mainly, from positive to
non-positive derivative, whether negative or not. Of course, it's easier to
see in a graph than in a table.
I don't see French growing: except an outlier in November 2012 for active
editors, which is not reflected in the very active editors count, in the
last few months it's at the same level as in January-March 2008, 4800-5000
active editors.
It's the same in Italian, growth till January-March 2008 and then
oscillation/stagnation:
http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/**
TablesWikipediaIT.htm<http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaIT.ht…
Anecdotally in WMIT, we've been repeating "it.wiki has 500 very active
editors" for a while, and we've stopped updating this figure a long time
ago. :-)
Of course I'm only playing the stats dilettante here.
Compare the third and fourth charts (for editors making more than 5 and
more than 100 edits per month respectively). The height of the bars in the
French charts is still rising. It's a continuous upward trend. In the
English charts, it has been falling since 2007.
Andreas