It has zero chance to be passed. As it happened with the global rollback vote, a bunch of en.wp users just would show up and vote against it does not matter what. Just because an idea that an admin on a different project can block a en.wp user apparently seems to be unbearable.
Understandably so - the requirements to become an admin on a small project are much lower than on enwiki. If enwiki wanted lower standards for adminship, then RfA wouldn't be such a nightmare.
Actually I believe it is more difficult to become admin on ru.wp than on en.wp but this is irrelevant for this discussion.
Cheers Yaroslav