On 28 September 2010 18:35, Ryan Lomonaco wiki.ral315@gmail.com wrote:
On Tue, Sep 28, 2010 at 6:12 PM, Risker risker.wp@gmail.com wrote:
And even with it just being put forward as a second trial, the support
for
continuing dropped 10% in two weeks.
You're losing the hearts and minds battle here, guys.
Risker/Anne
I haven't followed the discussion at all, but I have two statistical quibbles: First, characterizing a drop from 65 to 59% as a "10% drop" is misleading - while (65-59)/65 is 10%, it's really a 6% drop.
That's 10% of the support that's disappeared in two weeks.
Second, A drop from 65% to 59% is not very statistically significant. It could very easily be explained if more of the people who voted against the first time came back for the second vote. But even if both polls are a representative sample of the English Wikipedia as a whole, both polls will have a margin of error of a few percent.
Any "voting" type process on the English Wikipedia that garners participation from 500 users in a week is about as statistically significant as anything you're ever going to get.
Risker/Anne