David Gerard wrote:

http://www.alexa.com/data/details/traffic_details?site0=wikipedia.org&si...

So ... how long at our present cancerous rates of growth till our traffic is 6x what it is now?

(We hit #10 on Alexa twice in the last month, by the way. Our smoothed page rank is #12.)

While Google's pageviews fluctuate a lot more than ours, squinting at the charts suggests that their average growth rate over the last 5 years has been a bit under twice what ours has been this year. So, according to a linear extrapolation, we may be able to narrow down the relative margin but won't catch up with them in absolute terms.

Then again, while our growth this year seems fairly linear, the three year graph could also be quite well fitted to an exponential model, if you ignore the odd spike last January and the corresponding slowdown over the first half of this year. If our growth is in fact still exponential, I'd roughly estimate our yearly growth rate to be about 3.5-fold, which would have us catching up with Google in about a year and a half, assuming their growth remains mostly linear.

And if you believe any of that crap, I've got some stocks to sell you.