Dear all,
we're currently building a template for Zika-related articles (cf.
), and I could imagine
some of these - e.g. those on the earlier Zika outbreaks - may be
useful for training the models.
Cheers,
Daniel
On Mon, Feb 22, 2016 at 11:11 PM, Priedhorsky, Reid <reidpr(a)lanl.gov> wrote:
Insufficient data in epidemiological sources.
Basically, we need fairly
decent time series incidence data over a few years in order to train the
models; this isn’t available for Zika, just case reports here and there.
The expert on our team is Ashlynn Daughton: “[T]here’s been a small amount
of surveillance of Zika
(
http://www.eurosurveillance.org/images/dynamic/ET/V19N02/V19N02.pdf).
French polynesia and other islands had an outbreak in 2013 and it sounds
like there are *some* reports (pg. 50). There’s also sporadic mentions of
imported Zika from travelers from Africa or Asia (e.g. See pg 54). But there
hasn’t been anything as systematic, or comprehensive as there is now.”
HTH,
Reid
On Feb 19, 2016, at 10:29 AM, Dan Andreescu <dandreescu(a)wikimedia.org>
wrote:
Thanks, Reid. When you say there's insufficient data history, do you mean
in other sources? Zika was discovered in 1947 and the wiki page for it was
built in 2009. We have high quality geolocated data since May 2015.
I'm still doing research (I admit the distractions at the foundation have
gotten in the way, I apologize for that). I hope to get back to it with
renewed force this weekend.
On Fri, Feb 19, 2016 at 11:30 AM, Priedhorsky, Reid <reidpr(a)lanl.gov> wrote:
We do have more work in progress to extend the 2014 paper, in particular
to mosquito-borne diseases in a Spanish-speaking country, though not Zika
because there is insufficient data history.
I appreciate the pointer. Are there any specific questions folks would
like me to address in this thread?
Thanks,
Reid
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