On 05/05/06, Alphax (Wikipedia email) <alphasigmax(a)gmail.com> wrote:
More to the point, the outcome of the Monty Hall
problem is "common
sense" once you understand it. Denying that staying will give you a
better chance of winning when there are 9999998 doors with goats behind
them open, when you've had it explained to you, is /not/ common sense.
Fwiw, I explain it like this: "Did you know what was behind any of the
doors when you made your first guess? Do you know now? Do you prefer
uninformed decisions?"
Steve