There were a good article criticising Google Flu approach: “ The parable of
Google Flu: Traps in Big Data Analysis”
*http://dash.harvard.edu/bitstream/handle/1/12016836/The%20Parable%20of%20Google%20Flu%20(WP-Final).pdf?sequence=1
<http://dash.harvard.edu/bitstream/handle/1/12016836/The%20Parable%20of%20Google%20Flu%20(WP-Final).pdf?sequence=1>*
It seems too easy to predict anything using Google or Wikipedia data. Just
follow the following plan: a) choose what to predict, b) find searches that
give you a positive results.
And this unscientific approach produce articles like this one: “Predicting
Recessions in Real-Time: Mining Google Trends and Electronic Payments Data
for Clues.”
http://www.cdhowe.org/pdf/Commentary_387.pdf
Thank you James, I am not criticising the article you mentioned.
I just ready to to bet that I will be able to predict anything on Wikipedia
pageviews data.
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Thank you.
Alex Druk
alex.druk(a)gmail.com
wikipediatrends.com