The theory behind "wisdom of the crowds" depends on the crowd members
forming their independent opinion without reference to the opinion of
others. There is research that shows that "wisdom of the crowds" does not
hold when the "crowd" knows one another's opinions (the "lets go around
the
room and hear what people have to say" approach heavily biases the later
responses to match the consensus of the earlier responses), that is, you get
"group think".
Experts are likely to have studied a range of evidence and other sources, so
hopefully less likely to be engaged in "group think", but scientific
theories now widely accepted have been ridiculed and/or suppressed when
first introduced because they were contrary to the views widely held by
other experts in the same field, so even experts are not immune to "group
think".
Nobody is automatically right and nobody is automatically wrong. We just
have to do our best to be careful in our assessment of the reliability of
sources.
Kerry
_____
From: wiki-research-l-bounces(a)lists.wikimedia.org
[mailto:wiki-research-l-bounces@lists.wikimedia.org] On Behalf Of ENWP Pine
Sent: Sunday, 8 July 2012 9:19 AM
To: Research-l Wikimedia; wikimedia-l
Subject: [Wiki-research-l] Wisdom of the crowd vs. wisdom of the experts
andinsiders
I thought this was interesting so I'm passing it along. This sentence
particularly caught my attention: "The answer, I think, is to take the best
of what both experts and markets have to offer, realizing that the
combination of the two offers a better window onto the future than either
alone." Substitute the word "crowds" for "markets", and perhaps
there is
something here that could be applied to Wikipedia in our quest for quality,
mixing the best of expertise and crowdsourcing. I'd be very interested in
hearing comments from other Wikipedians.
<https://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/08/sunday-review/when-the-crowd-isnt-wise.h
tml>
https://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/08/sunday-review/when-the-crowd-isnt-wise.ht
ml
Cheers,
Pine