Ian Woollard wrote:
It's looking to me like 3.5 million is about the plateau, since the curve is bang on that, but we might make 4 million *eventually*.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Modelling_Wikipedia%27s_growth#Logist...
We'll know more around the beginning of 2010. In my view something is likely to change in the direction of people valuing lists of "missing articles" more, when it is clearer that drive-by creation is getting drossier by the month (which is what that model implies). Of course I can't quantify that: I know it is still easy to come up with sets of 1000 topics that we don't cover at all well, and the total of redlinks is still large.
Charles