"Poor, Edmund W" Edmund.W.Poor@abc.com writes:
See: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change
The survey shows an even split among scientists on whether the GW theory is true. This is far from the "consensus" that some GW theory proponents claim exists. ...unless, of course, someone genuinely feels that a mean score of 4.8 on a scale from 1 (agree) and 7 (disagree) represents a "consensus" of agreement!
Thats an horrific and dishonest interpretation of those results.
The question was not "do you believe that GW theory is true", it was "do you trust present climate models over a period of 10 years to succesfully predict INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY" (my stress)
Trends in long term climate do *not* come into the compass of inter-annual variability. That you don't appreciate this... sheesh.
The score for GW as a future event was 2.6 on a 1-7 scale. Already detected GW was 3.3.