Eric: Thanks for the information! Do you know of any
tools that can be
used to do something like what stats.grok.se does, but including mobile
traffic? And/or can stats.grok.se be modified to switch to using mobile
traffic (perhaps optionally, or with a separate URL/subdomain so as to stay
separate from the existing stats)?
Reguyla: Thanks for the suggestions. In particular, do you have reasons to
believe that mirror sites have increased in popularity or search result
ranking in recent years? My impression was that Google is getting better at
downgrading and not showing pure mirror sites of Wikipedia.
Vipul
On Thu, Mar 26, 2015 at 10:08 AM, Erik Zachte <ezachte(a)wikimedia.org>
wrote:
Hi Vipul,
First, I find it quite interesting to see your extensive work on
aggregating stats.grok.se data!
I can see how that fills a gap in our tool set.
A few comments on your extensive analysis (full page version):
=Media coverage=
You say "The decline received news coverage in January 2014, beginning
with Wikipediocracy
<http://wikipediocracy.com/2014/01/06/googles-knowledge-graph-killing-wikipedia/>
and
followed by the Daily Dot
<http://www.dailydot.com/news/wikipedia-falling-traffic-meaning/>, The
Register
<http://www.theregister.co.uk/2014/01/13/google_stabs_wikipedia_in_the_front/>,
and The Examiner
<http://www.examiner.com/article/wikipedia-page-views-downhill-slide> …"
The sites you mention present charts which at the time only showed
non-mobile traffic. After this issue on apparent decline was raised, those
charts were updated to also show mobile traffic. But these obsolete
versions of the charts keep coming back to haunt us ;-)
See recent charts see e.g.
http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/ReportCardTopWikis.htm (last chart per
language)
In some languages mobile traffic almost equals non-mobile traffic, e.g.
Japanese
http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/SummaryJA.htm and
Arabic
http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/SummaryAR.htm
=Stats.grok.se=
Your tracking of historic page views for a set of pages about colors
unfortunately suffers from the fact that WMF page view dumps did not
contain mobile views either until relatively recently.
In September 2014 a separate set of page view dumps was released:
https://dumps.wikimedia.org/other/pagecounts-all-sites/2014/ which does
include mobile and zero traffic.
However it seems from
http://stats.grok.se/about those extended dumps
are not used at stats.grok.se even now.
=New content=
You say "The reason that overall pageview counts for Wikipedia haven’t
declined much between 2013 and 2014 is *the creation of new pages*. In
other words, the growth in views based on the creation of new pages is the
main factor compensating for what would otherwise be an even steeper
decline."
Frankly, purely untuitively I find that hard to believe, much of the new
content will reach few users initially, as we accumulated such a wide range
of topics, and depth of coverage, already in earlier years. (of course
there are new pages that go trending imediately)
This could be tested by removing all titles from a recent page views dump
which also occur above some threshold say a year ago, and tally what
remains.
Using monthly aggregated files would make this more reliable.
http://dumps.wikimedia.org/other/pagecounts-ez/merged/
This would be a rough assesment, order of magnitude, for views to new
articles only.
Page view dumps also contain non existing page titles (which people type
manually in the address bar, and a small proportion of articles which got
deleted), hence the threshold.
=Trend last 24 months=
Looking at our monthly stats
http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesPageViewsMonthlyCombined.htm , in
paricular 2nd row with bar charts, the trend for last 24 months, the
overall trend seems to be stable. Of course trends differ per language, but
the overall trend is not sloping down. (first bar chart in that row, column
Sigma)
Best regards,
Erik Zachte
*From:* analytics-bounces(a)lists.wikimedia.org [mailto:
analytics-bounces(a)lists.wikimedia.org] *On Behalf Of *Vipul Naik
*Sent:* Thursday, March 26, 2015 15:49
*To:* A mailing list for the Analytics Team at WMF and everybody who has
an interest in Wikipedia and analytics.
*Subject:* [Analytics] Draft blog post on decline in Wikipedia
pageviews: looking for analytics explanations
Hello all,
I've written a blog post about the decline in pageviews to some Wikipedia
pages over the last few years. The blog post can be found here:
http://vipulnaik.com/blog/the-great-decline-in-wikipedia-pageviews-full-ver…
I'm planning to post a condensed version of this to a more public and
widely-read forum, and *would like to get any feedback on it from people
who are more familiar with the analytics*.
*In particular, I'm interested in potential explanations of the pageview
decline that I might have missed, such as changes to the way the analytics
are logged, or changes to people's browser or operating system use
patterns, or changes in bot frequency*. I tried looking for data on
trends in these, and although I could find some overall data on the use of
various browsers and bot access, I couldn't get trend data that I could
directly compare with the individual pageview data. So if you have easily
usable sources of such trend data (stretching at least as far back as
2013), or if you have some theories based on looking at such data in the
past, I'd really like to know.
So that you don't have to read the whole post to get an idea of what I'm
talking about, I'll paste below two sample tables from the post that
illustrate the sort of trends I am talking about:
Trends in colors (notice the sharp decline from 2013 to 2014; a monthly
breakdown found in the post shows that the decline was steady from March
2013 to June 2014):
*Page name*
*Pageviews in year 2014*
*Pageviews in year 2013*
*Pageviews in year 2012*
*Pageviews in year 2011*
*Pageviews in year 2010*
*Pageviews in year 2009*
*Pageviews in year 2008*
*Total*
*Percentage*
*Tags*
Black <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black>
431K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Black&language=en>
1.5M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Black&language=en>
1.3M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Black&language=en>
778K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Black&language=en>
900K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Black&language=en>
1M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Black&language=en>
958K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Black&language=en>
*6.9M*
*16.1*
Colors
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Colors&language=en&allyears=allyears>
Blue <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue>
710K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Blue&language=en>
1.3M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Blue&language=en>
1M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Blue&language=en>
987K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Blue&language=en>
1.2M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Blue&language=en>
1.2M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Blue&language=en>
1.1M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Blue&language=en>
*7.6M*
*17.8*
Colors
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Colors&language=en&allyears=allyears>
Brown <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brown>
192K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Brown&language=en>
284K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Brown&language=en>
318K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Brown&language=en>
292K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Brown&language=en>
308K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Brown&language=en>
300K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Brown&language=en>
277K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Brown&language=en>
*2M*
*4.6*
Colors
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Colors&language=en&allyears=allyears>
Green <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Green>
422K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Green&language=en>
844K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Green&language=en>
779K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Green&language=en>
707K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Green&language=en>
882K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Green&language=en>
885K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Green&language=en>
733K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Green&language=en>
*5.3M*
*12.3*
Colors
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Colors&language=en&allyears=allyears>
Orange <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orange>
133K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Orange&language=en>
181K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Orange&language=en>
251K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Orange&language=en>
259K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Orange&language=en>
275K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Orange&language=en>
313K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Orange&language=en>
318K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Orange&language=en>
*1.7M*
*4*
Colors
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Colors&language=en&allyears=allyears>
Purple <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Purple>
524K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Purple&language=en>
906K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Purple&language=en>
847K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Purple&language=en>
895K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Purple&language=en>
865K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Purple&language=en>
841K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Purple&language=en>
592K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Purple&language=en>
*5.5M*
*12.8*
Colors
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Colors&language=en&allyears=allyears>
Red <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Red>
568K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Red&language=en>
797K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Red&language=en>
912K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Red&language=en>
1M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Red&language=en>
1.1M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Red&language=en>
873K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Red&language=en>
938K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Red&language=en>
*6.2M*
*14.6*
Colors
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Colors&language=en&allyears=allyears>
Violet <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Violet>
56K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Violet&language=en>
96K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Violet&language=en>
75K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Violet&language=en>
77K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Violet&language=en>
69K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Violet&language=en>
71K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Violet&language=en>
65K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Violet&language=en>
*509K*
*1.2*
Colors
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Colors&language=en&allyears=allyears>
White <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White>
301K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=White&language=en>
795K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=White&language=en>
615K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=White&language=en>
545K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=White&language=en>
788K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=White&language=en>
575K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=White&language=en>
581K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=White&language=en>
*4.2M*
*9.8*
Colors
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Colors&language=en&allyears=allyears>
Yellow <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yellow>
304K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Yellow&language=en>
424K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Yellow&language=en>
453K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Yellow&language=en>
433K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Yellow&language=en>
452K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Yellow&language=en>
427K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Yellow&language=en>
398K
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Yellow&language=en>
*2.9M*
*6.8*
Colors
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Colors&language=en&allyears=allyears>
*Total*
*3.6M*
*7.1M*
*6.6M*
*6M*
*6.9M*
*6.5M*
*6M*
*43M*
*100*
–
*Percentage*
*8.5*
*16.7*
*15.4*
*14*
*16*
*15.3*
*14*
*100*
–
–
Trends in the most populated countries (note the peaking in 2010 and
decline from then to 2014):
*Page name*
*Pageviews in year 2014*
*Pageviews in year 2013*
*Pageviews in year 2012*
*Pageviews in year 2011*
*Pageviews in year 2010*
*Pageviews in year 2009*
*Pageviews in year 2008*
*Total*
*Percentage*
*Tags*
China <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China>
5.7M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=China&language=en>
6.8M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=China&language=en>
7.8M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=China&language=en>
6.1M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=China&language=en>
6.9M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=China&language=en>
5.7M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=China&language=en>
6.1M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=China&language=en>
*45M*
*9*
Countries
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Countries&language=en&allyears=allyears>
India <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/India>
8.8M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=India&language=en>
12M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=India&language=en>
12M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=India&language=en>
11M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=India&language=en>
14M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=India&language=en>
8.8M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=India&language=en>
7.6M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=India&language=en>
*73M*
*14.5*
Countries
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Countries&language=en&allyears=allyears>
United States <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States>
13M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=United%20States&language=en>
15M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=United%20States&language=en>
18M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=United%20States&language=en>
18M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=United%20States&language=en>
34M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=United%20States&language=en>
16M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=United%20States&language=en>
15M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=United%20States&language=en>
*129M*
*25.7*
Countries
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Countries&language=en&allyears=allyears>
Indonesia <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indonesia>
5.3M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Indonesia&language=en>
5.2M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Indonesia&language=en>
3.7M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Indonesia&language=en>
3.6M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Indonesia&language=en>
4.2M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Indonesia&language=en>
3.1M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Indonesia&language=en>
2.5M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Indonesia&language=en>
*28M*
*5.5*
Countries
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Countries&language=en&allyears=allyears>
Brazil <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brazil>
4.8M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Brazil&language=en>
4.9M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Brazil&language=en>
5.3M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Brazil&language=en>
5.5M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Brazil&language=en>
7.5M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Brazil&language=en>
4.9M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Brazil&language=en>
4.3M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Brazil&language=en>
*37M*
*7.4*
Countries
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Countries&language=en&allyears=allyears>
Pakistan <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pakistan>
2.9M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Pakistan&language=en>
4.5M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Pakistan&language=en>
4.4M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Pakistan&language=en>
4.3M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Pakistan&language=en>
5.2M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Pakistan&language=en>
4M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Pakistan&language=en>
3.2M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Pakistan&language=en>
*28M*
*5.7*
Countries
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Countries&language=en&allyears=allyears>
Bangladesh <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bangladesh>
2.2M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Bangladesh&language=en>
2.9M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Bangladesh&language=en>
3M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Bangladesh&language=en>
2.8M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Bangladesh&language=en>
2.9M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Bangladesh&language=en>
2.2M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Bangladesh&language=en>
1.7M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Bangladesh&language=en>
*18M*
*3.5*
Countries
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Countries&language=en&allyears=allyears>
Russia <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russia>
5.6M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Russia&language=en>
5.6M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Russia&language=en>
6.5M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Russia&language=en>
6.8M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Russia&language=en>
8.6M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Russia&language=en>
5.4M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Russia&language=en>
5.8M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Russia&language=en>
*44M*
*8.8*
Countries
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Countries&language=en&allyears=allyears>
Nigeria <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nigeria>
2.6M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Nigeria&language=en>
2.6M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Nigeria&language=en>
2.9M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Nigeria&language=en>
3M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Nigeria&language=en>
3.5M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Nigeria&language=en>
2.6M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Nigeria&language=en>
2M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Nigeria&language=en>
*19M*
*3.8*
Countries
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Countries&language=en&allyears=allyears>
Japan <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japan>
4.8M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Japan&language=en>
6.4M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Japan&language=en>
6.5M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Japan&language=en>
8.3M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Japan&language=en>
10M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Japan&language=en>
7.3M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Japan&language=en>
6.6M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Japan&language=en>
*50M*
*10*
Countries
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Countries&language=en&allyears=allyears>
Mexico <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mexico>
3.1M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2014&page=Mexico&language=en>
3.9M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2013&page=Mexico&language=en>
4.3M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2012&page=Mexico&language=en>
4.3M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2011&page=Mexico&language=en>
5.9M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2010&page=Mexico&language=en>
4.7M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2009&page=Mexico&language=en>
4.5M
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultiplemonths.php?year=2008&page=Mexico&language=en>
*31M*
*6.1*
Countries
<http://wikipediaviews.org/displayviewsformultipleyears.php?tag=Countries&language=en&allyears=allyears>
*Total*
*59M*
*69M*
*74M*
*74M*
*103M*
*65M*
*59M*
*502M*
*100*
–
*Percentage*
*11.7*
*13.8*
*14.7*
*14.7*
*20.4*
*12.9*
*11.8*
*100*
–
–
I'm also pasting my hypothesis list from near the end of the post below:
1. *Google’s Knowledge Graph
<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Knowledge_Graph>*: This is the hypothesis
raised in Wikipediocracy
<http://wikipediocracy.com/2014/01/06/googles-knowledge-graph-killing-wikipedia/>,
the Daily Dot
<http://www.dailydot.com/news/wikipedia-falling-traffic-meaning/>, and
the Register
<http://www.theregister.co.uk/2014/01/13/google_stabs_wikipedia_in_the_front/>.
The Knowledge Graph was introduced in 2012. Through 2013, Google rolled out
snippets based on the Knowledge Graph in its search results. So if, for
instance, you only wanted the birth date and nationality of a musician,
Googling would show you that information right in the search results and
you wouldn’t need to click through to the Wikipedia page.
2. *Other means of accessing Wikipedia’s knowledge that don’t
involve viewing it directly*: For instance, Apple’s Siri tool uses data
from Wikipedia, and people making queries to this tool may get information
from Wikipedia without hitting the encyclopedia.
3. *Changes to pageview-counting methods or to the number of false
pageviews generated by bots and crawlers*: While this probably isn’t
sufficient to explain the entire decline, it could well be the case that
some of the decline arises from bots and crawlers becoming more efficient
in terms of the frequency with which they crawl Wikipedia and generate
false pageviews. The official estimate
<https://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesPageViewsMonthlyCombined.htm> is
that about 15% of pageviews are bot-generated,
4. *Substitution away from Wikipedia to other pages that are
becoming more search-optimized and growing in number*: For many topics,
Wikipedia may have been clearly the best information source a few years
back (as judged by Google), but the growth of niche information sources, as
well as better search methods, have displaced it from its undisputed
leadership position.
5. *Substitution away from coarser, broader pages to finer,
narrower pages within Wikipedia*: While this cannot directly explain an *overall
*decline in pageviews, it can explain a decline in pageviews for
particular kinds of pages. Indeed, I suspect that this is partly what’s
going on with the early decline of pageviews.
Thanks,
Vipul
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