I think that we need to consider three other factors here.
1 The proportion of reverts that are legit
2 The community's dissonance over unsourced edits.
3 Transparency
In my experience a substantial minority of IP edits are vandalism, but
the community is fairly effective at reverting that vandalism. Much of
it comes from school IPs with long block logs and a prominent place on
the screens of hugglers.
There are inconsistencies and complexities about the reversion of
unsourced edits. Complexities in that newbies maybe surprised to
discover that an unsourced change to a biography of a living person
will get reverted by many editors who would not be as cautious about
an edit to an article on a battleship, volcano or Bollywood film.
Inconsistencies in that some editors would respond to the addition of
an unsourced fact with a citation needed tag, a revert or a
subvocalised meh.
But the big difference between the deletion of new articles and the
reversion of new edits to existing articles is transparency. People do
make mistakes with rollback, huggle and the other vandal reversion
tools. But the system is very effective at picking them up, not least
because anyone can look at the edit history of live edits.
Vandalfighters who make frequent mistakes get told to slowdown and
ultimately lose rollback rights. We are far less effective at dealing
with errors at speedy deletion.
WereSpielChequers
On 21 March 2011 21:36, Howie Fung <hfung(a)wikimedia.org> wrote:
Yes, thanks for sending this along.
I created a fallout chart which helped me understand the relative weights of
different paths:
http://bit.ly/ggyypQ
I'm also trying to put this in the context of the Editor Trends Research [1]
and the Product Whitepaper [2]. These numbers seem to suggest that
registered users actually have a relatively small percentage chance of
getting their first edit reverted (3.2% = 1,223/38,404). This seems to be
pretty consistent with what we're seeing in other revert research (e.g.,
Zachte's revert trends [3] has registered editors being reverted 4.2% of the
time).
While reversion rates for registered editors appears to have grown quite a
bit from 2005-2007, the numbers are still relatively small, especially when
compared to the reversion rates of anonymous editors. This seems to suggest
that important areas for research are:
1) Understanding reversion of edits from anonymous users and their
downstream impact on our other metrics (e.g., New Wikipedians)
2) Obtaining a more nuanced understanding of reversions to registered
editors (e.g., in addition to understanding the % of edits that get reverted
over time, understanding the nature of the reversions and whether they have
gotten more contentious over time).
Howie
[1]
http://strategy.wikimedia.org/wiki/Editor_Trends_Study/Results
[2]
http://strategy.wikimedia.org/wiki/Product_Whitepaper
[3]
http://strategy.wikimedia.org/wiki/Product_Whitepaper#Reversion_and_Newbie_…
On 3/21/11 1:24 PM, Zack Exley wrote:
Thanks for pointing this out. This is very cool stuff. Philippe & James
Alexander are working on some related questions. I just asked them to reach
out to you and Mr.Z-man.
Zack
On Mon, Mar 21, 2011 at 12:27 PM, WereSpielChequers
<werespielchequers(a)gmail.com> wrote:
I've just come across a really important bit of research on EN wiki.
User:Mr.Z-man analyzed the new accounts created in February to see how
many were still editing in September.
Key findings:
Over two thirds of new accounts had still not become editors after 6
months.
Editors who start by creating articles are only about a quarter of new
editors, three quarters edit existing articles. I find this credible
if a little on the low side. But over ten thousand newbies created an
article in February 2010, had their article deleted and ceased
editing.
Editors whose articles are not deleted are over seven times more
likely to remain than editors whose articles were deleted.
As one would expect, the retention rate of Article creators was much
lower than of other new editors.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Mr.Z-man/newusers
WereSpielChequers
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