Yes, thanks for sending this along. 

I created a fallout chart which helped me understand the relative weights of different paths: http://bit.ly/ggyypQ

I'm also trying to put this in the context of the Editor Trends Research [1] and the Product Whitepaper [2].  These numbers seem to suggest that registered users actually have a relatively small percentage chance of getting their first edit reverted (3.2% = 1,223/38,404).  This seems to be pretty consistent with what we're seeing in other revert research (e.g., Zachte's revert trends [3] has registered editors being reverted 4.2% of the time). 

While reversion rates for registered editors appears to have grown quite a bit from 2005-2007, the numbers are still relatively small, especially when compared to the reversion rates of anonymous editors.  This seems to suggest that important areas for research are:

1) Understanding reversion of edits from anonymous users and their downstream impact on our other metrics (e.g., New Wikipedians)
2) Obtaining a more nuanced understanding of reversions to registered editors (e.g., in addition to understanding the % of edits that get reverted over time, understanding the nature of the reversions and whether they have gotten more contentious over time).

Howie

[1] http://strategy.wikimedia.org/wiki/Editor_Trends_Study/Results
[2] http://strategy.wikimedia.org/wiki/Product_Whitepaper
[3] http://strategy.wikimedia.org/wiki/Product_Whitepaper#Reversion_and_Newbie_Treatment

On 3/21/11 1:24 PM, Zack Exley wrote:
Thanks for pointing this out. This is very cool stuff.  Philippe & James Alexander are working on some related questions. I just asked them to reach out to you and Mr.Z-man.

Zack

On Mon, Mar 21, 2011 at 12:27 PM, WereSpielChequers <werespielchequers@gmail.com> wrote:
I've just come across a really important bit of research on EN wiki.

User:Mr.Z-man analyzed the new accounts created in February to see how
many were still editing in September.

Key findings:

Over two thirds of new accounts had still not become editors after 6 months.

Editors who start by creating articles are only about a quarter of new
editors, three quarters edit existing articles. I find this credible
if a little on the low side. But over ten thousand newbies created an
article in February 2010, had their article deleted and ceased
editing.

Editors whose articles are not deleted are over seven times more
likely to remain than editors whose articles were deleted.

As one would expect, the retention rate of Article creators was much
lower than of other new editors.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Mr.Z-man/newusers

WereSpielChequers

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