[WikiEN-l] declining numbers of EN wiki admins

[WereSpielChequers]

The number of admins on the English Wikipedia may possibly have
peaked, and the number of active admins is 20% down on its peak of a
couple of years ago.

Dec 2009, Jan 2010 and February 2010 had only 19 successful RFAs
between them, with December and January both equalling the previous
all time low of 6. March 2010 is not yet over, but with less than 7
days left and no-one running, it looks like 2 is a new record monthly
low for RFA, and 15 a new record low for a quarter.

Those who are becoming admins are mostly the tale end of the classes
of 2006/7, as we currently have only 34 admins who started editing in
2008, and only 4 from the class of 2009.

Are other projects experiencing a similar phenomena?

What are the likely results of a dwindling number of admins, and a
growing wikigeneration gap between admins and other editors?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:WereSpielChequers/RFA_by_month

Regards

WereSpielChequers