[Foundation-l] Prognosticating

[Robert Rohde]

As I said, I assumed the current trend falls off in a similar way to
the way the trend has evolved during the last four fundraisers.  The
uncertainty is based on roughly the extrapolated range in evolution
between those past examples.

-Robert Rohde

On Mon, Nov 10, 2008 at 10:36 PM, Gerard Meijssen
<gerard.meijssen at gmail.com> wrote:
> Hoi,
> This is good. We can use more money.. But this money will only be there when
> the current trend will continue. We have seen last year that it does not
> work that way. So just see how it progresses and when we gain more money
> then expected, we can cheer and find appropriate ways to spend it.
> Thanks,
>       GerardM
>
> On Tue, Nov 11, 2008 at 6:59 AM, Robert Rohde <rarohde at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> After 6 days, the fund drive appears to have taken $450,000 (not
>> counting the $1.9M of that was in the counter before the drive
>> started).
>>
>> Comparing that total to the way that previous drives have evolved, I'd
>> guesstimate that after 60 days the current drive will have generated
>> $2.9 +/- 0.9M in community donations, not counting any additional
>> major donor contributions that the WMF may arrange during that time.
>>
>> Based on the figures in the annual report, $2.9M would appear to
>> exceed expectations for community giving (currently stated as $3M for
>> the current fiscal year, and assuming that at least $1M in community
>> giving occurs as donations during non-fundraiser months).
>>
>> -Robert Rohde
>>
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