[Foundation-l] Prognosticating

Ian A. Holton poeloq at gmail.com
Tue Nov 11 06:34:21 UTC 2008


What statistical method do you use to calculate 2.9 Million?

Ian

On 11/11/08, Robert Rohde <rarohde at gmail.com> wrote:
> After 6 days, the fund drive appears to have taken $450,000 (not
> counting the $1.9M of that was in the counter before the drive
> started).
>
> Comparing that total to the way that previous drives have evolved, I'd
> guesstimate that after 60 days the current drive will have generated
> $2.9 +/- 0.9M in community donations, not counting any additional
> major donor contributions that the WMF may arrange during that time.
>
> Based on the figures in the annual report, $2.9M would appear to
> exceed expectations for community giving (currently stated as $3M for
> the current fiscal year, and assuming that at least $1M in community
> giving occurs as donations during non-fundraiser months).
>
> -Robert Rohde
>
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