Thomas Dalton wrote:
2009/2/12 Charles Matthews
<charles.r.matthews(a)ntlworld.com>om>:
The
ArbCom culls around 1% of the admin body annually
Is less than that, surely? 1% of the *active* admin body, maybe.
Ok, I've done the sums:
Special:Statistics says we have 1623 admins, 1% of that is 16.
Wikipedia:Former_administrators shows 10 admins desysopped
(involuntarily) total in the last year (to end of January), 7 by
ArbCom, 2 of which were only for 6 months. I don't know what the
average number of admins during that year was, but it looks like
ArbCom permanently desysop less than 0.5% of the admin body annually.
Well, "active" admins are the only ones likely to be the subject of an
Arbitration case, no? And that's said to be around 800. But in any
case taking one year's numbers isn't particularly the right way to look
at this issue. One good wheel-war ...
My gut feeling is that 99% of active admins are not a real problem, and
that this is the right figure to hold onto in discussion. There are only
two patterns I see for admins getting into serious trouble: those who
have been about three months in the job, and turn out not to cope well
as far as judgement goes; and those who really are resistant in the
longer term to "admonishment".
That leaves random life-events as quite a significant contribution to
those stats. I'd like to make the point that reconfirmation procedures
are hardly a help with those - too blunt an instrument.
Charles