[WikiEN-l] Notability on the skfields

[Ray Saintonge]

Ken Arromdee wrote:

>On Sat, 12 May 2007, Todd Allen wrote:
>  
>
>>>Can anyone actually derive Notability from neutrality, verifiability
>>>and no original research in elegant and obvious steps? Or work toward
>>>this?
>>>      
>>>
>>Well, let's take a stab here.
>>2. From NPOV: "NPOV requires views to be represented without bias." If
>>the only source we have is first-party, the article will be inherently
>>biased, as it is nearly impossible to write fairly and neutrally about
>>oneself.
>>    
>>
>This reminds me of why Sherlock Holmes deductions don't work in the real
>world.  Holmes makes a plausible-sounding deduction that completely ignores
>the fact that each step is not 100% certain, and the uncertainty accumulates
>from step to step.  If you string together ten steps, each of which is 90%
>certain, your result will be useless.
>
The probability of a correct result is 0.9^10 or a little less than 35%, 
But I would expect that Holmes would engage in some hypothesis testing 
on the way, a practice normally spurned by those claiming that a 
situation is obvious.

Ec