I'll agree that any estimate at this point is bound to be off - but all estimates are going to be off.  I'll strongly disagree that we can't come up with some reasonable estimate that's better than my wazoo estimate.  And I need some estimate.  What would be perfect for me is a percentage uploaded each day for the full contest last year.  That way I can track how well the estimate is working and update it everyday.

Pete

On Sunday, September 2, 2012, Ilario Valdelli wrote:
On 02.09.2012 14:08, Peter Ekman wrote:
It's fairly important to estimate the total uploads so that we can
mobilize the right number of people for tasks such as reviewing the
pix, placing them in the lists, and pre-jury screening.  So far I've
been using the standard scientific method of pulling a number out of
my wazoo ("US is almost as big as Europe ==> 100,000")


It's difficult to make a comparison because we had only two days of contest and because the number of countries is higher than last year.

In addition last year it was the first time of a larger participation, so the users experienced the event and they were able to understand the rules. So I suppose that a lot of participants had kept the images in their hard-disks waiting WLM.

For instance I took a lot of photos before September and wait WLM to upload them.

Anyway don't wait a small number of photos. I think that over a specific level "more than thousand" doesn't make a difference.

--
Ilario Valdelli
Wikimedia CH
Verein zur Förderung Freien Wissens
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