Hello everyone,
I am jumping in this conversation with the aim to put any estimation
and/or forecasting in relative terms. I personally think it is slightly
more fruitful and productive to ask the proportion and/or share of
Wikimedia foundation in Internet economy as a non-profit.
With this in mind, it might be useful to consider other forecasting data
points about the size of Internet economy:
http://www.digital.je/media/Secure-Strategic-Documents/OECD%20-%20Measuring…
http://www.mckinsey.com/features/sizing_the_internet_economy
http://allthingsd.com/20120127/report-internet-economy-set-to-nearly-double…
For research, to measure the equivalent economic activities of Wikimedia
foundation as x% share of the Internet economy entails longer time frame at
macro levels. The time frame of this question is longer than A/B testing
for fund-raising interfaces/mechanisms in a few days. They are two
different questions, and both have their merits for study. However, the
five-year or ten-year forecasting research seems to be more relevant to the
bigger question of the share and role of Wikimedia foundation in the whole
of Internet economy.
Put in relative terms, I hope that the Wikimedia foundation budget grows
in proportion with the number of Internet users, and the average donations
remains the same (inflation-adjusted). I have this hope because I have the
assumption that Wikimedia foundation provides public goods or public
utility to serve the public. Internet economy can go bust and boom, which
can have real impacts on fundraising performance. I do not want the quality
and price for public utility fluctuates. On the other hand, I hope that the
impact of Wikimedia foundation remains a substantial proportion of the
whole Internet economy. Limited budget, but multiplier effects of public
knowledge.
.
From the above slightly normative assumptions, I hope to see two
indicators produced and/or constructed: (1) Wikimedia foundation's annual
income divided by global Internet users (2) The equivalent Internet
economic values Wikimedia created as proportion to the whole economy every
year. It is reasonable to expected that the global Internet users will
eventually plateau and that the global Internet economy size will grow much
faster.
Best,
han-teng liao
2015-01-03 2:41 GMT+02:00 James Salsman <jsalsman(a)gmail.com>om>:
I wish someone would please replicate my measurement
of
the variance in the distribution of fundraising results using
the editor-submitted banners from 2008-9, and explain to the
fundraising team that distribution implies they can do a whole
lot better.... When are they going to test the remainder of the
editors' submissions?
Given that you've been asking for that analysis for four years,
and it's never been done, and you've been repeatedly told that
it's not going to happen, could you....take those hints? And by
hints, I mean explicit statements....
Which statements? I've been told on at least two occasions that the
remainder of the volunteer submissions *will* be tested, with
multivariate analysis as I've suggested (instead of much more lengthy
rounds of A/B testing, which still seem to be the norm for some
reason) and have never once been told that it's not going to happen,
as far as I know. Who ruled it out and why? Is there any evidence that
my measurement of the distribution's kurtosis is flawed?
I'll raise the issue as to whether and how much the Foundation should
pay to crowdsource revision scoring to help transition from building
new content to updating existing articles when the appropriate
infrastructure to measure the extent of volunteer effort devoted to it
is in place. If there is any reason for refraining from discussion of
the fact that revision scoring can be equivalent to computer-aided
instruction and the ways that it can be implemented to maximize its
usefulness as such, then please bring it to my attention.
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