Hi,

Since participating in the Inspire grant campaign, I got interested in the question of exactly how many women would be needed on Wikipedia to close the gender gap. I ran some simulations and came up with some fairly radical numbers.  For example, according to my calculations, there are so few current and new female editors that, even if every current and new active, female editor stayed active for ten years, we wouldn't close the gap.

I've posted the results to my blog. It's password protected so I can share the results and get feedback without making it pubic.  You can access them by using the password "wikipedia". I was hoping you folks on the analytics list would be keen to catching any missing variables or unrealistic assumptions in the work.  
I appreciate any feedback,