On 10/10/2007, Moe Epsilon
<moe_epsilon(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
I wouldn't doubt that growth of the site is
waning. How much more can an already-popular website expotentially grow? Think about it,
Wikipedia is currently in the top 8(?) most popular websites on the Earth. There's not
too many internet users that don't know already about Wikipedia's existance in
some way. Unless theres a sudden burst of popularity in the media like the Essjay incident
or the Edit to the Chris Benoit article that made headlines, I don't expect Wikipedia
to actually increase in popularity anymore than it already has. Wikipedia had a meteoric
rise from 2003 to 2006/07, maybe the level of popularity has just stabilized, it happens
to all sites eventually.
Yeah, but I remember thinking that most of the steps along the way as
well. Alexa ranking is strictly for amusement purposes. In any case,
it's still going up:
http://www.alexa.com/data/details/traffic_details?site0=wikipedia.org&y…
http://www.alexa.com/data/details/traffic_details?site0=wikipedia.org&y…
Here's the request and traffic graphs for the last year or so. This is
across all of Wikimedia, not just en:wp:
http://tools.wikimedia.de/~leon/stats/
http://tools.wikimedia.de/~leon/stats/reqstats/reqstats-yearly.png
http://tools.wikimedia.de/~leon/stats/trafstats/trafficstats-yearly.png
Those *may* be going flat, but I'd be surprised.
- d.
Raw traffic isn't going to map with content creation. the 99% 1% rule.
In the past we have been able to stay above 1% of those viewing
editing but the percentage will likely change with new viewing
audience. I suspect net regulars are the group with the greatest
number of 1%ers in and I doubt we have much growth potential left
among the net regulars.
--
geni