[WikiEN-l] OT Monty Hall (was: Re: Cyde should not have violated Deletion policy)
Steve Bennett
stevage at gmail.com
Fri May 5 07:41:55 UTC 2006
On 05/05/06, Alphax (Wikipedia email) <alphasigmax at gmail.com> wrote:
> More to the point, the outcome of the Monty Hall problem is "common
> sense" once you understand it. Denying that staying will give you a
> better chance of winning when there are 9999998 doors with goats behind
> them open, when you've had it explained to you, is /not/ common sense.
Fwiw, I explain it like this: "Did you know what was behind any of the
doors when you made your first guess? Do you know now? Do you prefer
uninformed decisions?"
Steve
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