[Foundation-l] new list summaries

Milos Rancic millosh at gmail.com
Wed Dec 17 11:25:15 UTC 2008


On Mon, Dec 15, 2008 at 6:35 AM, phoebe ayers <phoebe.wiki at gmail.com> wrote:
> Well, Milos, I wouldn't worry about the lists going dead -- there was
> lots of activity this month so far :)
>
> Summaries:
> * Foundation-l:
>
http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/LSS/foundation-l-archives/2008_December_1-15
> * Wiki-en-l:
http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/LSS/wikiEN-l-archives/2008_12_1-15
> * and special bonus Wikinews-l, by Anonymous101:
> http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/LSS/Wikinews-l-archives/2008-11

I think now that we started to go to mature phase: participants are writing
longer emails (size of emails is bigger for November 2008, even number of
emails for November 2007 was bigger) and a lot of participants are active.

However, we are relatively poor in getting new participants (I don't think
that there will be 8 new participants for December). So, we should think
about this problem. Foundation-l is at the top of participation chain and
less new members here means that something is wrong at the field (projects).

I think that it is very important that more people take care about meta
issues, like you are doing with summaries. (BTW, Michael, it would be good
to include a link to Phoebe's summaries into the foundation-l description
page.) At some stages of complexity systems need persons who are taking care
about them. Otherwise, they will tend to have some kind of "natural
development", which means that they may fluctuate until they are stabilized
at some stage; but, also, it may mean that they may collapse.

Note, also, that Wikimedia community is unique because of the type and size
of its mailing lists. It is a very different issue to have a number of huge
lists on which it is discussed about purely technical issues ("we need that"
-> "it is possible" -> "it may be fixed in this way" -> "it is fixed" [or
so]), than to have a number of huge lists with relatively free discourse.

The first stage of regulating one list is introducing moderator(s). AFAIK,
the second stage is not known. I've heard some analysis which claims that
the upper limit of one mailing list is around 50 active participants. Since
middle 2006 we have constantly two times more participants, sometimes three
times more. That means that we are inside of the unexplored field and that
we have a problem per se.

It is possible that our intuitive actions (your, mine; some others', too)
made some positive results. But, we are far from knowing that. Maybe it is
because Obama became president of US or because of bombings in Mumbai. Maybe
we reached the bottom because of the financial crisis and our activity
raised again when the situation was stabilized (yes, DJI index shows
stagnation for the last ~two months, not decrease).

Some time ago I was talking with one my friend (introduced in social
statistics issues) about statistics of Wikimedian community. The conclusion
was that our community is too complex to have any kind of linear conclusion
based on some numbers. The best which we can get form analysis of number is
to look into the past and conclude some obvious facts about raising and
falling of activity. It is comparable to the information "economy of the
West raised after the victory in the Cold War"; in our case: "our activity
raised around the first Wikimania". So, conclusions are "for the new raise
of economy the West has to make victory in another Cold War" and "we need to
make one more first Wikimania", respectively.

Because all of those, I think that it is really necessary to have a group of
people who is taking care about meta issues. It may be a volunteer group, it
may be a payed group inside of Wikimedia, it may be a groop of schoolars
with whom WMF made a deal to analyze our activities.

== Statistics up to December 17, 2008, ~11:00 UTC ==
;Email count:
<pre>
year    Jan    Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep
Oct    Nov    Dec
2004    xxx    xxx    xxx    64     532    506    474    242    462
650    276    282
2005    630    760    642    574    690    438    396    684    488
758    1074   672
2006    514    506    860    588    910    1666   1262   1670   2180
1206   1116   2530
2007    1138   624    665    1042   798    407    1163   471    791
1072   1030   1260
2008    1497   688    1679   1675   1131   942    609    501    699
559    870    490
</pre>

;New participants:
<pre>
year    Jan    Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep
Oct    Nov    Dec
2004    xxx    xxx    xxx    13     31     25     14     6      22
9      8      9
2005    17     21     10     8      9      9      8      18     15
10     15     16
2006    21     12     18     16     18     20     15     28     25
17     20     28
2007    19     26     13     21     22     18     18     19     14
15     21     19
2008    23     11     24     15     12     11     7      8      12
4      15     4
</pre>

;Active participants:
<pre>
year    Jan    Feb    Mar    Apr    May    Jun    Jul    Aug    Sep
Oct    Nov    Dec
2004    xxx    xxx    xxx    13     39     48     40     29     48
45     40     40
2005    58     61     56     56     57     57     52     73     67
67     74     73
2006    71     69     75     78     85     100    73     114    117
100    108    131
2007    120    112    103    132    126    110    142    105    121
135    131    156
2008    158    115    164    130    132    124    125    112    123
91     119    111
</pre>

;Emails size:
<pre>
year    Jan      Feb      Mar      Apr      May      Jun      Jul
Aug      Sep      Oct      Nov      Dec
2004    xxx      xxx      xxx      121475   1104754  1053462  967130
485494   719985   1097434  564584   539745
2005    1249081  1380845  1074325  953014   1347131  860264   857746
1296746  969160   1525844  2426353  1369238
2006    1042910  985712   1903912  1655576  1928528  3816811  2879586
3570674  4147155  2128520  2385879  5398523
2007    2563519  1333895  1462309  2244803  1745971  955367   2470301
968443   1741702  2224105  2129518  2422959
2008    3618057  1514498  4042573  4485905  2360334  2033119  1152809
1078196  1390021  1363943  2191516  1064296
</pre>


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